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[Column] How to Avoid the Pitfalls of Range-Based NDC Targets

The government has finalized its 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) as a 53–61% reduction from 2018 levels. However, the lower-bound–oriented approach is viewed as prioritizing industrial burdens over scientific evidence. A range-type target risks driving administrative action toward the lower end, leaving the upper target as a symbolic declaration. To ensure industrial competitiveness and policy credibility, institutional improvements—such as setting fiscal and R&D plans based on the upper bound and introducing incentives for overachievement—are needed.